Emperor, Dracai of Aesir at Battle Hardened: Birmingham 2023

Emperor, Dracai of Aesir

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Mathias W

44th • 3-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Stefano Berian (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Emperor, Dracai of Aesir) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Jose Alves (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Leeming (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs nino Zimmermann (Emperor, Dracai of Aesir) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Draw vs Christian Uffelmann (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Emperor, Dracai of Aesir	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Emperor, Dracai of Aesir	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

Michaele Teppa

43rd • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Mathias W (Emperor, Dracai of Aesir) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Søren Madsen (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Man Hiem Cheung (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Maximilien Berger (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Marco Lettieri (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Emperor, Dracai of Aesir	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

nino Zimmermann

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Igor Koutzevitch (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Kathryn Marshall (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Antonis Kazouris (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Mathias W (Emperor, Dracai of Aesir) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Marco Lettieri (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Blitz	Emperor, Dracai of Aesir	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Connor McIndewar

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Marcin Pelzner (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Steiner (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Danni Andersen (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.