Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at National Championship 2026 - France
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marc Alexandre (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Camille Colin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jeremy Coutellec (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Louis Guillot (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
5th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs CÉDRIC LIGNIER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arnaud Tournay (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Demetrio Bori (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ludovic Zgajner (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
5th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Clément Py (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yoann Moine (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charles Tardif (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrien Defarge (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nathanaël frederic (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Simon Duruy (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Adrien Krifa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
43rd • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
4.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Quentin Dauffer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Clément Py (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs May Made (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Vincent Degrandis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
11th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Simon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ulysse Bousquet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Clément Py (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Antoine Billy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kim Barroso (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nathanaël frederic (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
64th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Doriann LASSARA (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eloi Meens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs mickael assemat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Michenaud (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alexandre Fourrier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs May Made (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Damien CHINIARD (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
63rd • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Martin KRAWIES (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marc Alexandre (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Molinari (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Steve BRIQUET (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs CÉDRIC LIGNIER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Louis Duruy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
81st • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ludovic Zgajner (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pierre Canali (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Olivier HENRY (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hadrien Ravelinghien (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Doriann LASSARA (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Round 9: Loss vs William Rao (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Loïc Hervé (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
82nd • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs mickael assemat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexandre Godon (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Chavelard (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Gaumard (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Round 9: Loss vs Louis Duruy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Mathis Grandemange (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Philippe Milot (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Simon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Win vs Martin KRAWIES (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathanaël frederic (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Maxence Gobert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sami Belkhorfi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Rao (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
Round 4: Loss vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Youry Debaets (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs gilles le marchand (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arnaud Oglaza (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Loss vs Cédric Florent (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bruno Marty (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Killian Allouard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Brunoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.