Puffin, Hightail at National Championship 2026 - France
Puffin, Hightail
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
13th • 5-2-0
0%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
4.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Gaël Dorckel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Antoine Billy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Frédéric Marigo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Stephane Doutaz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
26th • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Dollé (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs LUDOVIC TEUMA (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Djeniba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Gaumard (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Adrien Krifa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Dylan Chavelard (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
85th • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cédric Florent (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Arnaud Oglaza (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Corentin Guillemot (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexandre Lebec (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64
Round 8: Win vs mickael assemat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Dylan Hammouti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Philippe Milot (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-1
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Fasquel (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Gaël Dorckel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Beslan Tatayev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Vincent Degrandis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 29:71
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gregory Graumer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 30% | Draw |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.