Arakni, Huntsman at National Championship 2026

Arakni, Huntsman

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Simon Duruy

9th • 5-2-0

43%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ulysse Bousquet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lasnier Richard (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mathis Reteuna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Beslan Tatayev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

90:10

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs enzo costa (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 89:11

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Demetrio Bori (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.22
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.37
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.53
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.95
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.21
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Vincent Degrandis

60th • 2-4-1

86%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dylan Hammouti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Guillaume Moutardier (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Bruno Marty (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Mélusine Haegeman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.07
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Draw	✓	0.69	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.29

Steve BRIQUET

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.4

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Quentin Castillo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 78:22

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Martin Thullier (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Florian Bouteyron (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs LUDOVIC TEUMA (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Gaël Dorckel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.06
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.67	2.38

gilles le marchand

dropped • 0-1-3

50%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Arlerand Ngan (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Gabriel Gindri (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Ulysse Bousquet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Perig Blouin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Draw	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Draw	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.