Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
25th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arnaud Oglaza (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dylan Chavelard (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sami Belkhorfi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
10:90
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Simon Duruy (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 11:89
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 10% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.