National Championship 2026 - France - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Léo Toulouse

5th • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Pilven (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Coutellec (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Michenaud (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 74:26

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

20:80

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.09
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.17
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.81	1.19
R8	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.97
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Albert GUYO

12th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

4.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alexandre Godon (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs simon diaz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs enzo costa (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Christophe Jourdan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Adrien Defarge (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

20:80

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.18
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.53
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.51
R8	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.81	3.41

Sami Belkhorfi

36th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs simon diaz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs May Made (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matthieu Gravito (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Louis Duruy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs enzo costa (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Antoine Billy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.81	0.68
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.37
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.49
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.27

mickael assemat

86th • 1-6-0

71%

Meta

-2.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Romain Werlen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Philippe Milot (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs esteban cerezuela (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mélusine Haegeman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Mathis Grandemange (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)

20:80

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Gregory Graumer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R9	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.29
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Eloi Meens

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David BERGIA (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs esteban cerezuela (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gwenaël Senmartin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rony MOYAL (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Mélusine Haegeman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Charles Tardif (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.59
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.18
R9	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Bastien LAVIGNON

dropped • 1-3-1

40%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs William Rao (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Ariela Randriamasy (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs FLORENT VANHOUTTE (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Maxime Dumas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Etienne Duruy (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Draw	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.40
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Gwenaël Senmartin

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sébastien Bondue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Stephane Doutaz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eloi Meens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ludovic Zgajner (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.81	0.60
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Raphaël Snaet

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

1.7

Surp

2.8

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Maxime Dumas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Cohen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joseph ORON (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs May Made (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (1.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.81	2.39

Jean-francois Cam

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.4

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Saillour (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adrien Bersier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Chavelard (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Léo Dupraz (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Antoine BEUCHER

dropped • 0-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Corentin Guillemot (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gregory Graumer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Moraine (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.