Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kim Barroso (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Perig Blouin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs esteban cerezuela (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.