Valda, Seismic Impact
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 6-1-0
100%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jo Yana (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthieu Gravito (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Demetrio Bori (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kim Barroso (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs CÉDRIC LIGNIER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Eloi Meens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
90:10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Victor Lenoble (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 91:9
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
23rd • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Michenaud (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Bruckert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Victor Lenoble (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 91:9
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charles Tardif (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
90:10
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Clément LOUBIERE (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 90:10
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Maxence Cornut (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 90% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
31st • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yoann Moine (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sébastien Bondue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Corentin Guillemot (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs David BERGIA (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ronan Pasquier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
54th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eloi Meens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christophe Jourdan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vincent Luong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs CÉDRIC LIGNIER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Damien CHINIARD (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ariela Randriamasy (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
67th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
4.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs enzo costa (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Mathis Grandemange (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Gindri (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrien Bersier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rony MOYAL (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Loïc Hervé (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Martin Thullier (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.