National Championship 2026 - France - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Victor Lenoble

30th • 5-2-0

29%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

3.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Beslan Tatayev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Geoffrey Chen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

10:90

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kim Barroso (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 9:91

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Maxime Forest (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Victor Bousch (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

10:90

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Charles Tardif (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 9:91

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.17
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.13
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	10%	Loss	✗	0.09	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.82
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.58
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.05
R10	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	10%	Loss	✗	0.09	-

Etienne Duruy

75th • 3-4-0

14%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Guarober (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 36:64

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Gaumard (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs FLORENT VANHOUTTE (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Arlerand Ngan (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Victor Bousch (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R8	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.63
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.64
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Lasnier Richard

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Molinari (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Simon Duruy (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs CÉDRIC LIGNIER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs William Rao (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.32
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.28

FLORENT VANHOUTTE

dropped • 0-4-0

25%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Maxence Gobert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Léo Dupraz (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Etienne Duruy (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.