Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

58th 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Geoffrey Chen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Zyggy Starlight
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ethan Moraine (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cédric Florent (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Romain Werlen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
!
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Jarl Vetreiði
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Joseph ORON (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Etienne Duruy (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
dropped 5-1-0
67%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
4.7
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marc Germond (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Romain Werlen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Frédéric Marigo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, Marionette
!!
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Damien CHINIARD (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
Fang, Dracai of Blades
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Dylan Chavelard (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.