National Championship 2026 - France - Fang, Dracai of Blades (CC)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Dylan Chavelard

20th • 6-1-0

43%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

3.6

Surp

5.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alexis Dehaese (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs enzo costa (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jean-francois Cam (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Philippe Milot (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Nicolas Pilven (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 73:27

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Camille Colin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	20%	Win	✗	0.78	0.93
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.17
R8	CC	Zyggy Starlight	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.51
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.29
R10	CC	Puffin, Hightail	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.54

Dylan Hammouti

79th • 4-2-1

43%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

4.5

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Degrandis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexis Dehaese (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Gregory Graumer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs diego santiago (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Mathis Grandemange (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Gaël Dorckel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Draw	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R8	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.14
R9	CC	Puffin, Hightail	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.39
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.73

Arnaud Tournay

59th • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Léo Dupraz (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 86:14

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Louis Duruy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nathanaël frederic (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Florian Bouteyron (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Martin KRAWIES (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Clément Py (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 73:27

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.03
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R10	CC	Zyggy Starlight	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.64

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.