Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

14 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

17th 6-1-0
57%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
4.4
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florian Bouteyron (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexandre Lebec (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs enzo costa (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, Huntsman
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Vincent Degrandis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Maxence Gobert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ludovic Zgajner (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33
29th 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.1
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maxime Dumas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Djeniba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Olivier HENRY (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Beslan Tatayev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
35th 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adrien Bersier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Doriann LASSARA (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Louis Duruy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Dorinthea Ironsong
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Adrien Krifa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Valda, Seismic Impact
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Pierre Selebran (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
52nd 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maxime Forest (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Quentin Dauffer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rony MOYAL (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph ORON (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs William Djeniba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Arthur Brunoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Quentin Castillo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
33rd 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.9
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mathis Reteuna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florian Bouteyron (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Perig Blouin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthieu Gravito (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Cédric Florent (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs CÉDRIC LIGNIER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
46th 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Thullier (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph ORON (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Puffin, Hightail
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Coutellec (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vincent Fasquel (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Corentin Guillemot (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Dash I/O
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sami Belkhorfi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
53rd 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noa Loisy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Arakni, Huntsman
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steve BRIQUET (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Fang, Dracai of Blades
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Arnaud Tournay (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Maxence Cornut (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Vincent Fasquel (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
66th 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Bruckert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Luong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Molinari (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexandre Godon (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Quentin Aubel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Gregory Graumer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Dorinthea Ironsong
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
48th 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jo Yana (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Puffin, Hightail
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Guillaume Moutardier (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Thullier (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Arakni, Huntsman
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Simon Duruy (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jean-Louis Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Martin KRAWIES (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
71st 1-4-2
71%
Meta
-2.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Rony MOYAL (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Quentin Aubel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Romain Werlen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Gregory Graumer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!!
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Camille Colin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Valda, Seismic Impact
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs David BERGIA (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs esteban cerezuela (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
dropped 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs diego santiago (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Guarober (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrien Krifa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Youry Debaets (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs esteban cerezuela (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Pierre Selebran (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
dropped 1-3-1
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Damien CHINIARD (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Zyggy Starlight
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Frank CLEMENT (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Killian Allouard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Dash I/O
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eloi Meens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Valda, Seismic Impact
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Arnaud Oglaza (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
dropped 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christophe Jourdan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pierre-Alexandre Germain (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Doriann LASSARA (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Zyggy Starlight
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicolas Pilven (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
dropped 3-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Valda, Seismic Impact
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David BERGIA (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hadrien Ravelinghien (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Dash I/O
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.