National Championship 2026 - France - Zyggy Starlight (CC)

Zyggy Starlight

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Clément Py

73rd • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Demetrio Bori (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bruno Marty (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Quentin Castillo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Youry Debaets (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Arnaud Tournay (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.78
R10	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

Nicolas Pilven

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marc Alexandre (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Dylan Chavelard (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 27:73

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Doriann LASSARA (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	25%	Win	✗	0.76	0.69
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.51
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Frank CLEMENT

dropped • 1-5-0

33%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Maxence Cornut (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rony MOYAL (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pierre-Alexandre Germain (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

5:95

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 7:93

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Louis Duruy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Kevin Bruckert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Win	✗	0.72	0.91
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-
R8	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-

Ethan Moraine

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joseph ORON (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Victor Bousch (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Quentin Castillo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Antoine BEUCHER (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	85%	Loss	✓	0.86	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.36

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.