Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 6-2-1
56%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.5
Surp
5.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Pierre Canali (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Ludovic Zgajner (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Coutellec (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Round 9: Win vs Stephane Doutaz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Eric Steuer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Adrien Krifa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Draw |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R10 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
21st • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Frank CLEMENT (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mathis Reteuna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joseph ORON (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Florian Bouteyron (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kim Barroso (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
39th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs May Made (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Win vs Bruno Marty (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Dutailly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Stephane Doutaz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Arthur Brunoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Clément LOUBIERE (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
32nd • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mélusine Haegeman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Youry Debaets (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Win vs Quentin Dauffer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kevin Pennec (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Killian Allouard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Paul Dollé (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
70th • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Clément LOUBIERE (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mathis Reteuna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Round 3: Win vs Léo Dupraz (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin KRAWIES (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Paul Dollé (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs William Rao (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Killian Allouard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs William Rao (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stephane Doutaz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Round 4: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gaël Dorckel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Steuer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Demetrio Bori (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxime Dumas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-1
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Simon Duruy (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs gilles le marchand (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marc Germond (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Draw |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.