Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
47th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Etienne Duruy (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tom Simon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Geoffrey Chen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
10:90
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kim Barroso (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 10:90
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 10% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.