Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elton Siang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Baron Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aloysius Goh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Round 10: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
17th • 6-1-0
86%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
4.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Te Fu Heng (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Cheah (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chung Si Chia (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Achilles DC (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Rafe Ang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Mark Tan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
9th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryan Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Baron Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Ooi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kelvin Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Round 8: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ming Xuan Loh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
16th • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
5.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Willis Tay (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Casey Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Round 8: Win vs Eon Lovelace (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Benjamin Lim (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Chung Si Chia (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
26th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas On (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jie Rui C (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafe Ang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daren Choo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yong Yi Chua (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Sebastian Lim (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Marco Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
39th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Willis Tay (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kai Yang Yuen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mervyn Lin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
Round 4: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Derrick Lim (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Baron Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Isaac Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
20th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chuan Yang Loy (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eon Lovelace (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jose Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Christopher Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Edwin Kan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Hermann Yeo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Lim (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nawaz Sudhakaran (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Lim (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Tan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Willis Tay (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-0-0
0%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jamen Ho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (0.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.