National Championship 2026 - Singapore - Vynnset, Iron Maiden (CC)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ming Xuan Loh

12th • 5-2-0

43%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.8

Surp

4.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jun Jie Chan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gary Lee (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jack Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Lim (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Rafe Ang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Brandon Peh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

30:70

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Christopher Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.20
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.62
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Win	✗	0.68	2.33

Baron Chan

42nd • 3-4-0

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lu Wei Soh (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Peh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wei Jie Yeo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Farid Farhan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Clarence Foo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Soh zheng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Achilles DC (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

0% (0/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.18
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.80
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R10	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.86

kc wong

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nigel Teo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 82:18

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chuan Yang Loy (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lu Wei Soh (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.14
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.81
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Te Fu Heng

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vivekraj Kannalagan (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	25%	Win	✗	0.77	2.12

Avinash Vellavan

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Ooi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chua Swee Chuan (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.