National Championship 2026 - Singapore - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Eon Lovelace

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Owen Sim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chung Si Chia (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Marco Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Clarence Foo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Edwin Kan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.07
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.26
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Marquis Tan

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alaric Ng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dave Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dusk Low (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alex Loh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.96
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Edwin Liew

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rafe Ang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Derrick Lim (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jose Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Nigel Teo

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tabitha Boon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs kc wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 18:82

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dave Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 26:74

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Winter Fong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.37

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.