Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 6-1-1
25%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dale Low (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Win vs Ojus Sharma (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Denny Koh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Win vs Soh zheng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs An Zhu (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Bryan Kong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Round 10: Win vs Wei Jie Yeo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Draw |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
10th • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
4.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Round 3: Win vs Chua Swee Chuan (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sarah Cheng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Round 8: Win vs Brandon Peh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
37th • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vivekraj Kannalagan (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 54:46
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jayden Yap (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edwin Kan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marco Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Mervyn Lin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
15:85
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Alaric Ng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bryan Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bernie L (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bernie L (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Darren Goh (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Looi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Round 4: Loss vs Baron Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-1
50%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Zhang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas On (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Reeve Chia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nigel Teo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Draw |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ming Xuan Loh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Han Junguang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Loss vs Allan Tan GH (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eon Lovelace (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.