Dorinthea Ironsong
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 6-1-0
71%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
3.9
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Denny Sunarjo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dong Quek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Win vs Aloysius Goh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ming Xuan Loh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Brandon Tan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs An Zhu (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Win |
18th • 6-1-0
86%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
6.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs shao hong koh (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alaric Ng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edwin Liew (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Denny Koh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Soh zheng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Lucas Teo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 10: Win vs Clarence Foo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
6.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
28th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Derrick Lim (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gideon Law (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marco Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
Round 8: Win vs Dusk Low (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
85:15
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aloysius Goh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Teck Yeow Wong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fu Kah Deng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Winter Fong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yong Yi Chua (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ben Ong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.