Katsu, the Wanderer at National Championship 2026 - Singapore
Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
34th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chua Swee Chuan (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jia Zheng Yeo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kok Tong Chew (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rafe Ang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jose Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Derrick Lim (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lu Wei Soh (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.