National Championship 2026 - Singapore - Puffin, Hightail (CC)

Puffin, Hightail

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Rafe Ang

33rd • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Edwin Liew (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ping How Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brandon Tan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lucas Teo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ming Xuan Loh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Dusk Low (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.34
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.49
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Wayne Tay

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Fu Kah Deng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 31:69

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ojus Sharma (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hermann Yeo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.30
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Adam Cheah

dropped • 1-1-0

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.2

Surp

1.1

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Achilles DC (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (0.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	25%	Win	✗	0.77	1.07
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.