Marlynn, Treasure Hunter at National Championship 2026

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Seb Kho

dropped • 2-1-1

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Tan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nawaz Sudhakaran (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Draw	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Hermann Yeo

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.4

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alex Loh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Ooi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daren Choo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Wayne Tay (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.42
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Denny Sunarjo

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.7

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Lim (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sean Tan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.