
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
44th • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Cheah (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.