National Championship 2026 - Singapore - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Dave Chia

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dusk Low (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nigel Teo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jia Zheng Yeo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.33
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Yu Heng Chew

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gideon Law (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Albern Song (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ping How Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chua Swee Chuan (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.58
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Darren Goh

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Casey Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Farid Farhan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Willis Tay (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Teck Yeow Wong

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kok Tong Chew (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jayden Yap (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.