Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chung Si Chia (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jamen Ho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs kc wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
Fai, Rising Rebellion
!
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
dropped 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alfred Lauw (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lu Wei Soh (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Avinash Vellavan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.