FaB-Results

Vynnset, Iron Maiden at National Championship 2026 - New Zealand

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Marko Zutic
12th • 5-2-0
29%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
4.3
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jude Wightman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Katsu, the Wanderer
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shamal Singh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tre Winika (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Baines (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs john jaurigue (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Fai, Rising Rebellion
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Adam Little (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Alexander McCallum (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Mae Jane Collett
40th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Digl Dixon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 42:58
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Donald Tang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Zyggy Starlight
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Yee (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Will Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
Katsu, the Wanderer
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Shamal Singh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ben Thomas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Matt Arnold (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Quazi Tahmeedzaman
43rd • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Will Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Dash I/O
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dennie So (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Dash I/O
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Day (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kelvin Clarke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Dexter Rei-Maynard (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Vincent Gardiner (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
Liam Fisher
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Little (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Arnold (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Cain (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Katsu, the Wanderer
!
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Dash I/O
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Neveiah Tetuhi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Henry Moore
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Day (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Valda, Seismic Impact
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jude Wightman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josh Jones (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Uzuri, Switchblade
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Grayson Ziogas (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Seb Hart
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Williams (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Valda, Seismic Impact
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taylah Wells (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Max Middleton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Katsu, the Wanderer
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shamal Singh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32
Christopher Smith
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Darge (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zach Johnson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Valda, Seismic Impact
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taylah Wells (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Wade (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.