Kassai of the Golden Sand
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zak Murray (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rob Davenport (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Spronken (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marko Zutic (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jess Arnesen (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
42nd • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ross Newson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Tomov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Lester (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nick Kerr (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Grayson Ziogas (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Shamal Singh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luke Steer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Darryn Ying (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Day (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tre Winika (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Cameron Hay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anthony Wedge (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Donald Tang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Arnold (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Williams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Smith (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Will Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Rinsma (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Hartley (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Gary Lynch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kieran Carnegie (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.