Puffin, Hightail
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Raymond Ocdol (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Digl Dixon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mathew Fletcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Karl Eagle (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Lester (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 83:17
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Day (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 85% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.