FaB-Results

Fai, Rising Rebellion at National Championship 2026 - New Zealand

Fai, Rising Rebellion

Fai, Rising Rebellion

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Oliver Berry
3rd • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.4
Diff
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Greg Mansfield (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Max Middleton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Lester (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Williams (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Darryn Ying (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Valda, Seismic Impact
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Nick Kerr
25th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
4.2
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan McIntyre (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elliott Nichols (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Baines (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
Jarl Vetreiði
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Darge (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marshall Stevenson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jesse Williams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Donald Tang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Edward Kim
21st • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Lester (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Archer Ying (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gavin Wu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Zyggy Starlight
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Rogers (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
Betsy, Skin in the Game
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jess Arnesen (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Joshua Baines (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jesse Williams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Adam Little
24th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Fisher (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vincent Gardiner (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Dodd (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jude Wightman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
Katsu, the Wanderer
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Samuel Graham-Walker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Marko Zutic (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Will Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
Joshua Wellington
dropped • 1-5-0
33%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Thomas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Valda, Seismic Impact
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Steer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Greg Mansfield (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Rowley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matt Arnold (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Zak Murray (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Nicholas Barlow
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Caleb Sinclair (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stepan Sopin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Dash I/O
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Tomov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.