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1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marko Zutic (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Greg Mansfield (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Henry Moore (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Little (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Damian Torwick (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.