FaB-Results

Dorinthea Ironsong at National Championship 2026 - New Zealand

Dorinthea Ironsong

Dorinthea Ironsong

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Caleb Sinclair
28th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Barlow (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dave Laffan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Marshall (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Prism, Awakener of Sol
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Cain (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
Dash I/O
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Karl Eagle (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
Uzuri, Switchblade
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Grayson Ziogas (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Jesse Potini
dropped • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elliott Nichols (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan McIntyre (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gary Lynch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vincent Gardiner (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Fang, Dracai of Blades
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Benjamin Rowan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.