FaB-Results

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at National Championship 2026 - New Zealand

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Liam Spronken
3rd • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.7
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Harris Lenz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander McCallum (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
Kassai of the Golden Sand
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs john jaurigue (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Will Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs David Marshall (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Valda, Seismic Impact
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
Valda, Seismic Impact
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
Darryn Ying
10th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Damian Torwick (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
Kassai of the Golden Sand
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jaden De-Arth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Valda, Seismic Impact
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luke Steer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
Fai, Rising Rebellion
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Katsu, the Wanderer
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Samuel Graham-Walker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Dash I/O
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Alex Tomov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Ben Thomas
29th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Wellington (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kelvin Clarke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 84:16
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Williams (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Marshall (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dave Laffan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mae Jane Collett (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Joshua Baines (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Stepan Sopin
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Baines (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Fai, Rising Rebellion
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Barlow (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zak Murray (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Archer Ying (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs James Cain (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Donald Tang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Christopher Wade
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
Dash I/O
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dennie So (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rob Davenport (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marie Watson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Smith (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)
Gavin Wu
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marie Watson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Lester (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Fai, Rising Rebellion
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Edward Kim (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mathew Fletcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Josh Jones
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
Valda, Seismic Impact
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elijah Hewlett (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
Betsy, Skin in the Game
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jess Arnesen (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 44:56
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vincent Gardiner (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Henry Moore (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.