Arakni, Huntsman at National Championship 2026 - New Zealand
Arakni, Huntsman
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Archer Ying (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dexter Rei-Maynard (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raymond Ocdol (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.