Showdown: Memphis 2026 - Dromai (SAGE)

Dromai

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Thao Lopez

53rd • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.2

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Landon Simmons (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kaileb Shipman (Oldhim) - Expected: 40:60

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs David Lee (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Bethany Romans (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Cole Craig (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 13:87

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Trey Herring (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Dane Dickson (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Ajay Bennington (Kavdaen, Trader of Skins) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Win	✗	0.84	1.34
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R7	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Kavdaen, Trader of Skins	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Luke Shinn

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.8

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Ward (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Walker (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Ajay Bennington (Kavdaen, Trader of Skins) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Zackary Young (Dash) - Expected: 61:39

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jayson Jacks (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Gil Beloate (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Trey Herring (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R3	Silver Age	Kavdaen, Trader of Skins	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.41
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Win	✗	0.84	1.91
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-

AUSTIN BAYNES

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Cody Campbell (Kano) - Expected: 38:62

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs William Marshall (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

75:25

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs James Wray (Nuu) - Expected: 77:23

5:95

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Rhinar) - Expected: 5:95

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Kano) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Nuu	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.23
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	5%	Loss	✗	0.05	-
R5	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Devin Simms

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Evan Dasher (Kano) - Expected: 38:62

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Zach Salada (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Timothy Hickman III (Aurora) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Oldhim) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Silver Age	Maxx Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Aurora	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.52
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.31

Gabriel Kammeyer

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.7

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Maxwell Martrich (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Stephen Rollyson (Dash) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Zackary Young (Dash) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dash) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Charlie Manning (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R2	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-

Syndi Beloate

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.6

Surp

3.2

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Nathan Vargas (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ikwal Hira (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Lindenmayer (Dash) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jennifer Hickman (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (1.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Win	✗	0.84	0.54
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R4	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Win	✗	0.84	2.68

Logan Barnes

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.7

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ryan Valentino (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Windham (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Skylar Kilgore (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Win	✗	0.84	0.67
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-

Randall Robinson

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Randy Davis (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tayler Allen (Florian) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.