Aurora
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 0-6-0
83%
Meta
-2.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Gill (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Zeni Ragsdale (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Valentino (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Devin Simms (Dromai) - Expected: 36:64
R5
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Ajay Bennington (Kavdaen, Trader of Skins) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Kyle Proctor (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kavdaen, Trader of Skins | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.