Kano
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
85:15
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Allen Towery (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13
Round 2: Win vs Zackary Young (Dash) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
70:30
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Diana Green (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 72:28
40:60
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Cody Campbell (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62
90:10
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Logan King (Florian) - Expected: 88:12
85:15
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Cody Williams (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda Brightaxe | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Dash | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian | 90% | Win |
| R8 | Valda Brightaxe | 85% | Win |
27th • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
85:15
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Franklin (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Ross Fontana (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Wallace (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56
85:15
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Witt Lucas (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13
45:55
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56
Round 8: Loss vs John Milner (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13, favorite upset
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda Brightaxe | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Valda Brightaxe | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Valda Brightaxe | 85% | Loss |
32nd • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs AUSTIN BAYNES (Dromai) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs William Snead (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56
85:15
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Sean Soderman (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Jonny Espejo (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Ikwal Hira (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Timothy Long (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56
90:10
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Tayler Allen (Florian) - Expected: 88:12
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda Brightaxe | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian | 90% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Logan Duplessis (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Jeffrey Rybak (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13, favorite upset
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Andre Francis (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56
85:15
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13
60:40
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs AUSTIN BAYNES (Dromai) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Trent Williams (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim | 85% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda Brightaxe | 85% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
30:70
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dash) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Devin Simms (Dromai) - Expected: 62:38
85:15
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Franklin (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13
30:70
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Eugene C (Dash) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56
Round 6: Loss vs Jeffrey Rybak (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Valda Brightaxe | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Dash | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda Brightaxe | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Charlie Manning (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Charles Castille (Fai) - Expected: 45:55
85:15
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Hannah Watts (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13
40:60
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Daeton Harris (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs William Snead (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Valda Brightaxe | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Shawn Edwards (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Valentino (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Ross Fontana (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56
90:10
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Phillip Millwee (Florian) - Expected: 88:12
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian | 90% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.1
Diff
85:15
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13
Round 2: Loss vs John Milner (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13, favorite upset
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs charles singleton (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda Brightaxe | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Valda Brightaxe | 85% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Charles Castille (Fai) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13, favorite upset
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Allen (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Dane Dickson (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Valda Brightaxe | 85% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.