FaB-Results

Vynnset at Showdown: Memphis 2026

Vynnset

Vynnset

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Dane Dickson
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
Bravo, Flattering Showman
!!
30:70
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Logan McNeely (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Ira, Crimson Haze
60:40
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41
Florian
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Roberto Brasile (Florian) - Expected: 57:43
Kano
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Nathaniel Gibbs (Kano) - Expected: 52:48
Kayo
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Skylar Kilgore (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44
Kayo
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Jayson Jacks (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44
Dromai
R7
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Thao Lopez (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Codi Barnett
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
Florian
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Roberto Brasile (Florian) - Expected: 57:43
Briar
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Gil Beloate (Briar) - Expected: 45:55
Kayo
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44
Kayo
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs William Snead (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44
Dash
!!
70:30
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Mel Falcon (Dash) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.