Showdown: Memphis 2026 - Nuu (SAGE)

Nuu

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Travis Yeo

42nd • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.3

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Oldhim) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jesse Carmack (Oldhim) - Expected: 67:33

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jo Burch (Kayo) - Expected: 17:83

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Cole Craig (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36

5:95

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 6:94

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Eugene C (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Kayo) - Expected: 17:83

15:85

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Tho Bui (Kayo) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.15
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.33
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-
R6	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Andrew Chambers

dropped • 1-4-1

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Heger (Kayo) - Expected: 17:83

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Draw vs David Hoss (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Bethany Romans (Kayo) - Expected: 17:83

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs None ()

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Zackary Young (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Dantes Ha (Oldhim) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R4	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

James Wray

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ajay Bennington (Kavdaen, Trader of Skins) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Battles (Kayo) - Expected: 17:83

25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs AUSTIN BAYNES (Dromai) - Expected: 23:77

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Kayo) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kavdaen, Trader of Skins	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

William Spiars

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Cole Craig (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Witt Lucas (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jennifer Hickman (Kayo) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.