Briar, Warden of Thorns
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
Round 1: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Kuan Li (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Oliver Berry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Round 6: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Thomas Zimmer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
R9
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
30% (3/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
5th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Sarah Nicholas (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Melvin Chew (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Oliver Berry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Zimmer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
15th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.7
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Noah Hicks (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
22nd • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
24th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Gale (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Sean Stanley (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Melvin Chew (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
25th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Gilmartin (Unknown)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs David Lee (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Dexter Phan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
33rd • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Andy Kim (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs HyoungJun You (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
25:75
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Sean Stanley (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
36th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Melvin Chew (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Krishan Patel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Derek Yang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
25:75
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Sean Stanley (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Eric Nguyễn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
25:75
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 24:76
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Matt Muus (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Muhamad Azim Fitri Abdul Muis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Zimmer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Gary Lee (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Stanley (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Andy Pham (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.