
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
1 players • Match results by round
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18th • 4-2-1
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 2: Draw vs Noah Hicks (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.