Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at Battle Hardened: Singapore 2025
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-2-1
100%
Meta
0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Stanley (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Draw vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Melvin Chew (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.