Battle Hardened: Singapore 2025 - Prism, Awakener of Sol (LL)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Elaine Cao

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Lane Thomason (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Kostoglou (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Krishan Patel

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Sarah Nicholas (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Matt Muus (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kevin Murphy

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Gary Lee (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.