Chane, Bound by Shadow at Battle Hardened: Singapore 2025

Chane, Bound by Shadow

Chane, Bound by Shadow

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Robbert Valkeneers

20th • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Shaun Leow (Unknown)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

R2

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Dash I/O

65:35

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Briar, Warden of Thorns

75:25

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 76:24

Dash I/O

65:35

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Lexi, Livewire

R6

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Peng Joon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

R7

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.23
R5	LL	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R6	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

29th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

R1

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Noah Hicks (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Bravo, Star of the Show

60:40

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs EITARO SHIBATA (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Briar, Warden of Thorns

75:25

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Andy Pham (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 76:24

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

45:55

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56

Briar, Warden of Thorns

75:25

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

Briar, Warden of Thorns

75:25

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 76:24

Briar, Warden of Thorns

75:25

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 76:24

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.17
R4	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R6	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.34
R7	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.40

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

Fai, Rising Rebellion

R1

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Derek Yang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Aurora, Shooting Star

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 55:45

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

45:55

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56

Lexi, Livewire

R4

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

R5

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	LL	Aurora, Shooting Star	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.35
R3	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jimmy Niro Demers

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

Briar, Warden of Thorns

75:25

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Carlo Ople (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 76:24

Briar, Warden of Thorns

75:25

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

Dromai, Ash Artist

85:15

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Kuan Li (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

45:55

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Gale (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56

Lexi, Livewire

R5

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Peng Joon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.08
R2	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R3	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.13
R4	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.