Bravo, Star of the Show at Battle Hardened: Singapore 2025

Bravo, Star of the Show

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Paul van Gijssel

9th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Derek Yang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs HyoungJun You (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Adam Gale (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ilias Karamanis

13th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Andy Kim (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Lu Wei Soh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Choi Tae seong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

EITARO SHIBATA

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Muhamad Azim Fitri Abdul Muis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Sean Stanley (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Andy Kim (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Zak Miller

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Eric Nguyễn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	LL	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.