Calling: Singapore 2025 - Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X (CC)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

60 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Peter Buddensiek

3rd • 11-5-0

88%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

7.8

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jian Botor (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ade Fahri Syany (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Aaron Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Martin Rodriguez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Raniel Valdellon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R16 CC

Round 16: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

88% (14/16 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (8.2 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

7.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.06
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.19
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.19
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.24
R6	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.25
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.31
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.58
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R11	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.58
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R14	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.03
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R16	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Juntaek Lim

dropped • 11-3-0

79%

Meta

+3.3

Perf

6.1

Surp

4.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Renz Mascardo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Clarence Foo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Kyle Lantion (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

80:20

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.3 Wins (7.7 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

6.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.05
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.22
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.19
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.30
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.61
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.53
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R11	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.65
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.61
R13	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.31
R14	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Eric Cheong

dropped • 10-3-0

85%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

6.2

Surp

4.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ian Lee (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Robert Wise (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Teerawish Kotesiri (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs David Yau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Adrián Marín (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Chung Si Chia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs An Zhu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.05
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.16
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.16
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.47
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.59
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R10	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R12	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.61
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.90

Hayden Dale

dropped • 10-3-0

92%

Meta

+3.4

Perf

6.4

Surp

6.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jaime Agustin Manalili (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Heng KY (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Jones (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Melvin Chow (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Shawn Adams (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Neil Bautista (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Aidan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Dale Low (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Soh zheng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

92% (12/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.4 total deviation

Difficulty

6.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.05
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.25
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.32
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.80
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.63
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.69
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.95
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Kelvin Chen

dropped • 10-3-0

92%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

5.9

Surp

4.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Elliott Liew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jarod Tucker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Charles Dunn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Max Löhe (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Raniel Valdellon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

92% (12/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.05
R2	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.10
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.22
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.24
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.41
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.79
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.88
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.90

Yuki Matsumoto

dropped • 10-3-0

77%

Meta

+3.7

Perf

6.7

Surp

5.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Raniel Valdellon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs James Lim Jit Koon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ivan Marli (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ade Fahri Syany (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Clarence Foo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Keith Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.7 total deviation

Difficulty

5.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.08
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.16
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.15
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.57
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.74
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.84
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.96
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Francesco Giorgio

dropped • 9-4-0

85%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

6.4

Surp

3.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs August Rokkanen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andy Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Keith Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lee Kimball (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs John Cooper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Martin Rodriguez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.09
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.13
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.34
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.33
R7	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.36
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.49
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.95
R13	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Nghia Tran

dropped • 9-4-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

5.8

Surp

3.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs justin widjaja (Unknown)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sarah Nicholas (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 54:46

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nugroho Haryoputro (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Andrew Anderson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

80:20

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tiger Mckenzie (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Handy Wijaya (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Dominic Chong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

100% (13/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.15
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.20
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.26
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.32
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.18
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.64
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.89
R13	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.66

Soh zheng

dropped • 9-4-0

92%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

6.0

Surp

4.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Xiang jun Wee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Nelson Torres (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

92% (12/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.05
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.16
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.39
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.55
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R12	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.61
R13	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.66

Adrián Marín

dropped • 8-5-0

92%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

5.9

Surp

2.7

Diff

90:10

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Schlaefer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 90:10

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Edwin Kan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Eric Cheong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Keith Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

92% (12/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.01
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.10
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.16
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.47
R6	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.51
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.69
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Clinton Ng

dropped • 8-5-0

77%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

6.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mark Boothroyd (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Carlo Ople (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alexander Vore (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs David Yau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.05
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.11
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.23
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R7	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.50
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.93
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R12	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.72
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dr. Daniel McKay

dropped • 8-5-0

77%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

6.4

Surp

3.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tim Yap (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Syafiq Bin Irwan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ivan Marli (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Sammy Mnahy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.05
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.16
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.24
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.54
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.65
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

Damian Moss

dropped • 7-6-0

77%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

5.8

Surp

2.8

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Banco Lo (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kevin Brakowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs HyoungJun You (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Catherine Levine (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Chung Si Chia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Soh zheng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

R13

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.12
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.18
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.22
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.27
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.36
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R9	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R13	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Daniel Brouillet

dropped • 7-6-0

85%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

6.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tiger Mckenzie (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andy Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Abdurrahman Putra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.03
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.16
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.24
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.47
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.58
R9	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.51
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R13	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Jonathan Soh

dropped • 7-6-0

77%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

6.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pipatphoom Rattanakaianan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jack Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hoàng Đặng Minh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Daniel Jones (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Raine Karan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Ivan Marli (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.11
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.22
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.27
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R10	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R12	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Kai Liang Fong

dropped • 7-6-0

77%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

7.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wai Hong Tang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs KC Lui (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andrew Anderson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Melvin Tan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Klein Tian (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs John Cooper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Raine Karan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

7.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.06
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.15
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.28
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.21
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.56
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.71
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R11	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.00
R12	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R13	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Reeve Chia

dropped • 7-6-0

85%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

6.2

Surp

2.9

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joemer Adorna (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Fraser (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alex Loh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Joel Guzman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Darren Goh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs David Yau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Dale Low (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.03
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.19
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.28
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.38
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.74
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.79
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R13	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Ivan Marli

dropped • 6-6-1

92%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

6.2

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Frank Karamaroudis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rod Waje (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jian Hung Cheong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Sammy Mnahy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Keith Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jonathan Soh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

92% (12/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (6.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.05
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.15
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.24
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Draw	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.42
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.38
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R12	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Xavier McLean

dropped • 6-5-0

73%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

5.2

Surp

2.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matt Schubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Diego Paoletti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Soh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

73% (8/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.06
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.23
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.24
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.47
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.55
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.82
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Suh Jaeyong

dropped • 5-2-1

88%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jun Wei Hiew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Kyle Lantion (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Fraser (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Draw vs Thiwakorn Kanokwanavong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Leila Catton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.08
R2	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.17
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.27
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Draw	✗	0.43	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Andy Pham

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Stephen Brian Lim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Matthew W (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.13
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.08
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.25
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.06
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03

Chia Yong Teck

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Danial Affendy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Abdurrahman Putra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Areena Jasmine Yazid (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs HyoungJun You (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jian Hung Cheong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.35
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03

Colin Turner

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jayden Yap (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lestart Lim (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael Joseph Villano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs jay asher yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Wyatt Yeong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Hayden Buys (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.09
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.44
R6	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.50
R7	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.58
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Handy Wijaya

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.4

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ade Fahri Syany (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dong Quek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marlon Ilagan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mark Angelo Gonzales (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Hayden Buys (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.35
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lane Thomason

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Natchanon kamhanghan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dusk Low (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Dominic Chong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jonathan Kyle Lantion (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Nigel Teo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.44
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.62
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Max Löhe

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs John reiner Pahama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Adam Gale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Aidan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.10
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.39
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.33
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.65
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.49

Nakara Juntavong

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Syafiq Sulaimun (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Chris Brummett (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Bryan Huang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

80:20

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Soh zheng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.13
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.78
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.29
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Troy Wilson

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alan Jernigan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

90:10

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yuan Haoxiang (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 91:9

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Diego Constantakis (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Lestart Lim (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Dominic Chong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	90%	Win	✓	0.09	0.03
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.45
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.49
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Daniel Derry

dropped • 4-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Grancelyle Sia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kieran Carnegie (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jian Botor (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs HyoungJun You (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Draw	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.29
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.64
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.58
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Aaron Lee

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Winter Fong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Edwin Kan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs shao hong koh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Diego Paoletti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.33
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.65
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Areena Jasmine Yazid

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gary Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs George Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs James Clark (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jian Hung Cheong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Randy Stephen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.13
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.27
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.17
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.29
R8	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Arjun Garg

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Liam Dandie (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Farid Farhan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Wayu Saengphithak (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Danial Faizsal (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Grant Bartel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.29
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.09
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Clarence Foo

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mervyn Lin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cristerson Chee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tom Malek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.13
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.30
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.68
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Dung (Yung) Le

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Soh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hui Ryan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Raine Karan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Nisthal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Fadel Teasa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Julio Anthony (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.19
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.25
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.64
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Jeremiah Oldes

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs PH Chung (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Danial Affendy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Julio Anthony (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jason Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.19
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.39
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.53
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.61
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Joel Gibbons

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Leila Catton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Denny Sunarjo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs John Cooper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Hao Yang Ng (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.16
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.27
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R7	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Neil Bautista

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dusk Low (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ben Ong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Keith Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Edward Leonardo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Adam Cheah (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.19
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.59
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.33
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Nelson Torres

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

4.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Danial Affendy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Harry Boulton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mark Boothroyd (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Soh zheng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ian Lee (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

80:20

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.39
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.44
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.58
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Loss	✓	0.79	-

Jakub Nowicki

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

90:10

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yuan Haoxiang (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 91:9

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ho Wei jie. (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs joel amad (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Albern Song (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (4.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	90%	Win	✓	0.09	0.05
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.68
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.66

Joel Guzman

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

4.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Johann Louie Ong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Louis Mook (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Leila Catton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs justin widjaja (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.39
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R8	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yong Yi Chua

dropped • 3-5-0

88%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Klein Tian (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs FUNG CC (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Haziq Ghazale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Derek Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.09
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.39
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.77
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Derrick Lim

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs OLEKSII MAKODZEBA (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.35
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.47
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Pang Chan

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thames Yeo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs paolo mayo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tim Yap (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Danial Affendy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.45
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.51
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Wayu Saengphithak

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wyatt Yeong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zong Sheng Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mikael Lundberg (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jian Botor (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.30
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.59
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Benjamin Fraser

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Paul Johnson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Raniel Valdellon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.17
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.64
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Chris Brummett

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joel Gibbons (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

90:10

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dale O'Brien (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 90:10

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ray Marvin Dimaculangan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.05
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.66

In GwangYeol

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Cooper (Unknown)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jomari Daniel Panganiban (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Cas Mulder (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jeremy Guarober (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.45
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.40
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Rod Waje

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

90:10

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Curtis Roth (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 90:10

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ivan Marli (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mark Boothroyd (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Cristerson Chee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Elliott Liew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.03
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.35
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R6	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Wai Hong Tang

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Raniel Valdellon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Wei Jian Gan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Andrea Mengucci

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ian Chan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hans Kristian (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hao Yang Ng (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.16
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.62
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Blake Godenzi

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nigel Teo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shane Johnstone (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Sean Stanley (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.18
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.71
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Joshua Myles Lim

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs justin widjaja (Unknown)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nugroho Haryoputro (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Fadel Teasa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mark Angelo Gonzales (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.27
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Cubi Nguyen

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kho Fong Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs justin widjaja (Unknown)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.14
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

John Tucker

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nigel Teo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Louis Mook (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Martin Holík (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jordan Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.58
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Dusk Low

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Neil Bautista (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Zong Sheng Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lane Thomason (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Marklin Spencer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.35
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

IAN MESQUITA

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Richard Gillingham (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jose Lau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Syafiq Bin Irwan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Syafiq Sulaimun

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Fadel Teasa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Grant Bartel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Johann Louie Ong

dropped • 0-2-1

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Haziq Ghazale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Anditya Tornando (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Draw	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Chard Tan

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.