Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Calling: Singapore 2025
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 9-4-0
46%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Muhd Noh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lester Bryan Co (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs Lee Boon Chuan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33
Round 5: Win vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 27:73
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Raniel Valdellon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 27:73
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Keith Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 27:73
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs song kyunghwan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33
80:20
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 80:20
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
dropped • 9-4-0
38%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
6.0
Surp
5.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Derrick Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brenna Tan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Looi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 10: Win vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Dominic Chong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
dropped • 7-6-0
38%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
6.5
Surp
4.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lestart Lim (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wei Jian Gan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Tang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Soh zheng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Guarober (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marklin Spencer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 8: Win vs Keith Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Round 12: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
20:80
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs FUNG CC (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thaddius Ho (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs OLEKSII MAKODZEBA (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Charles Dunn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justian Frederick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Joseph Villano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
Round 8: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
Round 5: Win vs Stephen Brian Lim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lu Wei Soh (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 8: Win vs Thomas Brouillard-Benoit (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
dropped • 2-6-0
38%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raniel Valdellon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 27:73
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Derek Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Oscar Vargas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matt Schubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Parth Patel (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jayden Yap (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Yin Zhi Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John reiner Pahama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 80:20
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yu Xuan Tay (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Kyle Lantion (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stuart Myers (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Haziq Ghazale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ron Ong (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs York kwok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Win vs Mark Angelo Gonzales (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Diego Constantakis (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Buys (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Eric Nguyễn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
0%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 27:73
Round 2: Win vs Xiaonan Zou (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Derrick Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eugene Lim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Win vs Grancelyle Sia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs PH Chung (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs EITARO SHIBATA (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
Round 3: Loss vs Frank Karamaroudis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Peng Joon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.