Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

14 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 9-4-0
46%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.8
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Muhd Noh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lester Bryan Co (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lee Boon Chuan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Raniel Valdellon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Keith Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs song kyunghwan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Prism, Awakener of Sol
80:20
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
dropped 9-4-0
23%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
6.1
Surp
5.5
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Derrick Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brenna Tan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Fai, Rising Rebellion
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Looi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Dash I/O
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!!
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Dominic Chong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
dropped 7-6-0
23%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
7.1
Surp
4.4
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lestart Lim (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wei Jian Gan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Tang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 44:56
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Soh zheng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Guarober (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
!!
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
!
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marklin Spencer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Keith Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
dropped 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs FUNG CC (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Fang, Dracai of Blades
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thaddius Ho (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs OLEKSII MAKODZEBA (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Prism, Awakener of Sol
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Charles Dunn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Dash I/O
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
dropped 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 30:70
Fai, Rising Rebellion
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justian Frederick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Joseph Villano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
dropped 3-5-0
25%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.9
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Jarl Vetreiði
!!
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Stephen Brian Lim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
!!
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lu Wei Soh (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 30:70
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Thomas Brouillard-Benoit (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
dropped 2-6-0
38%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raniel Valdellon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Derek Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Oscar Vargas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Dash I/O
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matt Schubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Jarl Vetreiði
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Parth Patel (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 30:70
Dorinthea Ironsong
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jayden Yap (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
dropped 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
!!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yin Zhi Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 51:49
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John reiner Pahama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Prism, Awakener of Sol
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yu Xuan Tay (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
dropped 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Kyle Lantion (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Dash I/O
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stuart Myers (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Haziq Ghazale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Fang, Dracai of Blades
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ron Ong (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Dash I/O
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
dropped 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs York kwok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Angelo Gonzales (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Diego Constantakis (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Buys (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eric Nguyễn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
dropped 2-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xiaonan Zou (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Derrick Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eugene Lim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
dropped 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Grancelyle Sia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs PH Chung (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
dropped 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs EITARO SHIBATA (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Frank Karamaroudis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
dropped 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peng Joon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.