Fai, Rising Rebellion

Fai, Rising Rebellion

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 3-5-0
25%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
Dash I/O
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Max de Wilde (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 34:66
Dash I/O
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stuart Myers (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evan Bicknell (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 74:26
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Winter Fong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 34:66
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thames Yeo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 29:71
Kano, Dracai of Aether
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Grant Bartel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
dropped 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Colin Turner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Kano, Dracai of Aether
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Denny Sunarjo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Yau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
Puffin, Hightail
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Cheah (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 53:47
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Troy Wilson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
dropped 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Janina Maricle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
Dorinthea Ironsong
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lee Boon Chuan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Brakowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.