Calling: Singapore 2025 - Dorinthea Ironsong (CC)

Dorinthea Ironsong

17 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Mok Marcus

dropped • 5-3-0

38%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.0

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Ng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chris Brummett (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Melvin Tan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 28:72

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 34:66

15:85

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 15:85

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.05
R2	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.52
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.79
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.39

Jayden Yap

dropped • 3-4-1

38%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Colin Turner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ervin Lam (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Thomas Brouillard-Benoit (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 15:85

15:85

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gary Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 15:85

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Liam Dandie (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Muhd Noh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.28
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Draw	✗	0.15	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.19
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.66

Julio Anthony

dropped • 3-5-0

25%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kyle Tang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Taiki Bamba (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 34:66

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mikael Lundberg (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 15:85

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Matt Schubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Heng KY (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Dung (Yung) Le (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.36
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.51
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.17
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Lee Boon Chuan

dropped • 3-5-0

62%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.3

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jarren Goh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shawn Adams (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jian Hung Cheong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jacky Alexander Chan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.05
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.16
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.09

Marsha Ho

dropped • 3-5-0

62%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wai Hong Tang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.18
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.87
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

YuDi Chen

dropped • 3-5-0

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wyatt Yeong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Louis Glenn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ade Fahri Syany (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jack Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44

15:85

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Bryan Huang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 15:85

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.39
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.50
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-

Hailey Abbott

dropped • 2-6-0

50%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Darren Goh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Elton Siang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Syafiq Zulkepli (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Michael Joseph Villano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Heng KY (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 34:66

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs John McCreanor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.18
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.60
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-

Kyoshiro Takegahara

dropped • 3-4-0

14%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Taiki Bamba (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kok Tong Chew (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 15:85

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 28:72

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.22
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.58
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Andrew Anderson

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacky Alexander Chan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs An Zhu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.18
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.12
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Jaime Manzano

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lu Wei Soh (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mikko Pena (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Hoàng Đặng Minh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.13
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.15
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Win	✗	0.85	1.38
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Mark Angelo Gonzales

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jesse McDonald (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Melvin Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joshua Myles Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Looi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.15
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.40
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.16
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

James Hodges

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Keith Tan (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Muhamad Aqil Khaizuran Bin Sani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 34:66

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs John McCreanor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 76:24

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ian Lee (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.36
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.34
R6	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Teerawish Kotesiri

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Peng Joon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eric Cheong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kho Fong Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 15:85

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.13
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

David Jentzsch

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs shao hong koh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 15:85

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Albern Song (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs James Lim Jit Koon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.36
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.22
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Joshua Sim

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs song kyunghwan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Grancelyle Sia

dropped • 0-2-1

67%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Daniel Derry (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Edric Ramos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Draw	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Xiaonan Zou

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 15:85

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.