Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: Singapore 2025

Dorinthea Ironsong

17 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Mok Marcus

dropped • 5-3-0

38%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

3.2

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Ng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 창건 곽 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chris Brummett (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Melvin Tan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71

15:85

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.06
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.26
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.57
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.53

Jayden Yap

dropped • 3-4-1

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Colin Turner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ervin Lam (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Thomas Brouillard-Benoit (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83

15:85

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gary Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andrei Lazar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Liam Dandie (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Muhd Noh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Draw	✗	0.17	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.69

Julio Anthony

dropped • 3-5-0

25%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kyle Tang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Taiki Bamba (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mikael Lundberg (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Matt Schubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Heng KY (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Dung (Yung) Le (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.31
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.66
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.32
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Lee Boon Chuan

dropped • 3-5-0

88%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jarren Goh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shawn Adams (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jian Hung Cheong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jacky Alexander Chan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.06
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.87

Marsha Ho

dropped • 3-5-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wai Hong Tang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.23
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.95
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.09

YuDi Chen

dropped • 3-5-0

50%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wyatt Yeong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Louis Glenn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ade Fahri Syany (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jack Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

15:85

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Bryan Huang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.44
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.47
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Hailey Abbott

dropped • 2-6-0

62%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Darren Goh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Elton Siang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Syafiq Zulkepli (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Michael Joseph Villano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Heng KY (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs John McCreanor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.23
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.56
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R8	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kyoshiro Takegahara

dropped • 3-4-0

29%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Taiki Bamba (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kok Tong Chew (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.25
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Andrew Anderson

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacky Alexander Chan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs An Zhu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.15
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.15
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Jaime Manzano

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lu Wei Soh (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mikko Pena (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Hoàng Đặng Minh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Win	✗	0.83	1.29
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Mark Angelo Gonzales

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jesse McDonald (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Melvin Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joshua Myles Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Looi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.27
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

James Hodges

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Keith Tan (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Muhamad Aqil Khaizuran Bin Sani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs John McCreanor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ian Lee (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Teerawish Kotesiri

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Peng Joon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eric Cheong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kho Fong Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.36
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

David Jentzsch

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs shao hong koh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Albern Song (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs James Lim Jit Koon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.33
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.28
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Joshua Sim

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs song kyunghwan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Grancelyle Sia

dropped • 0-2-1

67%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Daniel Derry (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Edric Ramos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Draw	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Xiaonan Zou

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.