Katsu, the Wanderer

Katsu, the Wanderer

12 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 10-3-0
77%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
5.4
Surp
5.5
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gideon Law (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Kassai of the Golden Sand
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elendil Gil-galad Cañete (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 13:87
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hui Ryan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jaime Agustin Manalili (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lee Kimball (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!!
15:85
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nelson Torres (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 13:87, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 69:31
Dash I/O
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Dominic Chong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs An Zhu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 69:31
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
15:85
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 13:87
dropped 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
Dash I/O
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 13:87
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hayden Buys (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Jones (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Areena Jasmine Yazid (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 13:87
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Prempracha Saensupar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
dropped 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Narin Leelaporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Jarl Vetreiði
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jian Hung Cheong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Kano, Dracai of Aether
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jian Botor (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Leila Catton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hans Kristian (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 13:87
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Farid Farhan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
dropped 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chang Li (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daimon Martin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mohammed Mikail Bin Md Raffee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ojus Sharma (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Ooi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
Arakni, Marionette
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
dropped 3-5-0
88%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
4.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Renz Mascardo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Dorinthea Ironsong
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jayden Yap (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zong Sheng Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Brakowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Fang, Dracai of Blades
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Liam Dandie (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs FUNG CC (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25
dropped 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
Puffin, Hightail
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Cheah (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chang Huan Jui (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Kano, Dracai of Aether
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cody Dennhardt (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dong Quek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 69:31
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brenna Tan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 69:31
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Fahad Rahman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pipatphoom Rattanakaianan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
dropped 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 13:87
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brendan Peters (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ruben Salvador (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ray Marvin Dimaculangan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 13:87
dropped 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!!
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cody Dennhardt (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Bravo, Showstopper
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Darius Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Areena Jasmine Yazid (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 13:87
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chang Li (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
dropped 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Valdis Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Natchanon kamhanghan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ojus Sharma (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hui Ryan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Syafiq Zulkepli (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bryan Tang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
dropped 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 13:87
Dash I/O
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Schubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs HyoungJun You (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.